President Trump has hailed the recent two-week ceasefire agreement between the United States and Iran as a victory. Yet beneath the surface, analysts like Brian Berletic warn that this “pause” may be less about peace and more about positioning. Iran’s willingness to halt retaliation is framed not as a concession, but as conditional—if U.S. and Israeli aggression ceases, Iran has no incentive to continue striking back. The ceasefire, then, is not a triumph of diplomacy but a fragile truce resting on the whims of Washington’s next move.
Iran insists the deal includes recognition of its 10-point demands: control over the Strait of Hormuz, the right to enrich uranium, and the lifting of sanctions. But history suggests the U.S. rarely honours such commitments long-term. Instead, negotiations often serve as camouflage—buying time to regroup, rearm, and reframe the narrative for the next escalation.
Berletic’s warning is stark: Israel functions as a forward operating base, a proxy disposable enough to absorb the fallout of a strike while the U.S. maintains “clean hands.” This ceasefire could be the calm before a storm, a window for Israel to act under the guise of peace. The spectre of nuclear escalation looms, not as paranoia, but as a reminder of how often “temporary peace” masks preparation for war.
The broader picture is even more sobering. The U.S. strategy is not confined to Iran—it is part of a continuous campaign to maintain global primacy and disrupt multipolarism. From Russia and China to Venezuela and Cuba, the same playbook repeats: pressure, destabilise, negotiate, betray. Each ceasefire, each summit, each handshake is less a promise of peace than a prelude to renewed conflict.
For those who believe in resistance, the lesson is clear: scepticism is not cynicism, it is survival. Manufacturing dissent means refusing to accept ceasefires at face value, refusing to let “victory” be defined by those who profit from endless war. The question is not whether this truce will hold—it is how long until the next betrayal and whether we are ready to call it out when it comes.
UPDATE SINCE THIS INTERVIEW:
Israel has already violated the ceasefire 40-plus times in Lebanon, killing over 400 people.
